# xGscore

> Data-driven football predictions validated by league specialists. xGscore combines a proprietary Expected Goals (xG) model, team strength ratings and the Poisson distribution to compute match probabilities, with every prediction reviewed and published by a human analyst specialised in that league.

xGscore is a football analytics and predictions platform. Predictions are not generated automatically — every published forecast is the output of an algorithm (Algorithm) reviewed and validated by a league specialist (Expert Validation).

Methodology in short:

- Proprietary xG (Expected Goals) algorithm and team rating system
- Historical match databases used as input
- Expected score (xGscore) converted into outcome probabilities via the Poisson distribution
- A human analyst publishes the final prediction with full underlying analytics

The site is available in English (default), Spanish (`/es`), Ukrainian (`/ua`) and Russian (`/ru`). A Premium subscription unlocks the full set of analyst-validated predictions across all markets.

For each match xGscore publishes four prediction markets — match result (1X2), totals (over/under goals), both teams to score (BTTS) and correct score — plus a per-match Expected Goals computation page. The site covers all major European competitions; the leagues listed below are representative examples, not an exhaustive list.

## Core

- [xGscore — football predictions home](https://xgscore.io/): Main landing page covering data-driven football predictions across major leagues.
- [How it works](https://xgscore.io/how-it-works): Overview of the xGscore methodology — xG model, team ratings, Poisson distribution and expert validation step.
- [How to analyse a football match (RU)](https://xgscore.io/ru/blog/how-to-analyse): Detailed walkthrough of the xGscore analytical workflow used by the team to produce a prediction (Russian only).
- [Betting guide for subscribers](https://xgscore.io/blog/betting-guide): Important guide for Premium subscribers on how to use xGscore predictions and bankroll management.
- [xG Statistics — explained](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics/explained): Author article explaining what Expected Goals is, how it is calculated and how xGscore uses it.
- [Premium subscription](https://xgscore.io/premium): What Premium includes, value vs free tier, and pricing details.
- [Apps for betting](https://xgscore.io/apps): Curated companion apps and tools recommended by xGscore for football bettors.

## Predictions by market

- [Match result (1X2) predictions](https://xgscore.io/predictions): Probability-based predictions for home win, draw and away win, computed for every covered match.
- [Totals (over/under) predictions](https://xgscore.io/predictions/totals): Goals total predictions derived from the xG model and Poisson distribution.
- [Both teams to score (BTTS) predictions](https://xgscore.io/predictions/both-to-score): BTTS probabilities computed from each team's expected goals.
- [Correct score predictions](https://xgscore.io/predictions/correct-score): Most likely exact scores ranked by Poisson-derived probability.

## xG statistics

- [Latest week — xG fairness](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics): Recent matches ranked by xG with fairness analysis (whether the result matched the chances created).
- [Champions League — xG by tournament](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics/champions-league): Advanced xG statistics for the UEFA Champions League — xG, xGOT (on target), xPTS (expected points), xG from open play and set pieces, and fairness analysis.
- [Premier League — xG by tournament](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics/epl): Advanced xG statistics for the English Premier League — xG, xGOT, xPTS, xG from open play and set pieces, and fairness analysis.
- [La Liga — xG by tournament](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics/la-liga): Advanced xG statistics for La Liga — xG, xGOT, xPTS, xG from open play and set pieces, and fairness analysis.
- [Bundesliga — xG by tournament](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics/bundesliga): Advanced xG statistics for the Bundesliga — xG, xGOT, xPTS, xG from open play and set pieces, and fairness analysis.
- [Serie A — xG by tournament](https://xgscore.io/xg-statistics/serie-a): Advanced xG statistics for Serie A — xG, xGOT, xPTS, xG from open play and set pieces, and fairness analysis.

## Leagues (examples)

- [Premier League](https://xgscore.io/epl): Upcoming round, table and predictions for the English Premier League.
- [La Liga](https://xgscore.io/la-liga): Upcoming round, table and predictions for La Liga.
- [Bundesliga](https://xgscore.io/bundesliga): Upcoming round, table and predictions for the Bundesliga.
- [Serie A](https://xgscore.io/serie-a): Upcoming round, table and predictions for Serie A.
- [Ligue 1](https://xgscore.io/league-1): Upcoming round, table and predictions for Ligue 1.
- [Champions League](https://xgscore.io/champions-league): Group stage and knockout predictions for the UEFA Champions League.

## Match-level pages (template example)

xGscore publishes two pages for every covered match — a main preview with predictions across all four markets, and an Expected Goals computation page showing how the expected score is derived. The pair below is a template example; the same URL structure exists for every covered fixture.

- [Match preview — Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht (Bundesliga)](https://xgscore.io/bundesliga/borussia-d-eintracht/preview): Example of a per-match prediction page — main forecast across all four markets with analyst commentary.
- [Match xGscore — Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht (Bundesliga)](https://xgscore.io/bundesliga/borussia-d-eintracht/xgscore): Example of a per-match Expected Goals computation page showing how the expected score is derived.

## Localized versions

- [xGscore (Español)](https://xgscore.io/es/): Pronósticos de fútbol basados en datos, validados por analistas especialistas en cada liga.
- [xGscore (Українська)](https://xgscore.io/ua/): Прогнози на футбол на основі xG-моделі та розподілу Пуассона, з валідацією аналітиками за лігами.
- [xGscore (Русский)](https://xgscore.io/ru/): Прогнозы на футбол на основе xG-модели и распределения Пуассона с валидацией аналитиками по лигам.

## Optional

- [Terms of Service](https://xgscore.io/terms-and-conditions): Legal terms of using xGscore.
- [Privacy Policy](https://xgscore.io/privacy-policy): How user data is processed.
- [Contact](https://xgscore.io/contacts): Support and business contacts.