- What: 3rd Round EURO 2024, Group E, Ukraine vs Belgium
- Where: Germany, Stuttgart
- When: June 26, 19:00 (local time – 18:00)
- Stadium: MHP Arena (60,400 seats)
A group where nothing is clear. Depending on today's results, any team can occupy any position. In this match, a draw is fully satisfactory for Belgium – it would ensure they finish second. A draw might suffice for Ukraine only if there is no draw in the parallel match – 4 points and 3rd place would then give them a decent chance to advance.
Ukraine
In the 1st round, Ukraine suffered a crushing defeat to Romania, losing 3-0. Despite controlling the ball (71% possession), they created nothing – only 2 shots on target and an xG of 0.75. Additionally, they made defensive errors and conceded 2 long-distance goals.
In the 2nd round, motivated by heavy criticism, they defeated Slovakia 2-1. They initially conceded early in the first half but played differently in the second half – aggressively and with opportunities, most of which they converted.
The team is under heavy pressure due to high expectations, which often results in either over-exertion or under-performance. However, when their mood is right, they perform confidently.
Belgium
In the 1st round, Belgium unexpectedly lost to Slovakia 1-0. Despite a significant advantage, they scored 2 goals, but both were disallowed due to violations. They were lazy and sluggish in the first half, which led to conceding a goal. They improved significantly in the second half, but it was too late to overcome Slovakia.
In the 2nd round, Belgium needed to secure a win, which they did by defeating Romania 2-0. They followed their usual strategy – scoring a very early goal in the 2nd minute, then handing over possession to Romania and scoring again twice in the second half. Once again, a goal by Lukaku was disallowed, marking his third such occurrence.
The team is strong but lacks consistent focus and luck. The prospects for such a Belgium team remain unclear.
Prediction
Ukraine will play their favored style – defending and counter-attacking swiftly down the flanks. Belgium will need to break through this defense, which won't be easy. A goal-scoring extravaganza is unlikely.
xGscore Prediction: Total Under 3
