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Are you curious about how bookmakers calculate odds? One way is to use the Poisson distribution. To apply it, we need to determine the expected score of the match (xGscore), that's where our service is specialized in. In the Predictions section, you will find all the matches of the upcoming week.

By entering expected number of goals for home and away team, you will get familiar odds line, in addition you can also represent these numbers as a probability.

Note that we use an improved version of the Poisson distribution algorithm, aimed at football statistics and trends. In this version, probability of match draw is increased, as well as outcomes of the favorite team.

Line:
Result
Home 1
0%
Draw X
0%
Away 2
0%
Double chance
Home No lose 1X
0%
No draw 12
0%
Away No lose X2
0%
Total
Over (0.5)
0%
Under (0.5)
0%
Over (1)
0%
Under (1)
0%
Over (1.5)
0%
Under (1.5)
0%
Over (2)
0%
Under (2)
0%
Over (2.5)
0%
Under (2.5)
0%
Over (3)
0%
Under (3)
0%
Over (3.5)
0%
Under (3.5)
0%
Over (4)
0%
Under (4)
0%
Over (4.5)
0%
Under (4.5)
0%
Handicap
Home (-2) 1 (-2)
0%
Away (-2) 2 (-2)
0%
Home (-1.5) 1 (-1.5)
0%
Away (-1.5) 2 (-1.5)
0%
Home (-1) 1 (-1)
0%
Away (-1) 2 (-1)
0%
Home (-0.5) 1 (-0.5)
0%
Away (-0.5) 2 (-0.5)
0%
Home (0) 1 (0)
0%
Away (0) 2 (0)
0%
Home (0.5) 1 (0.5)
0%
Away (0.5) 2 (0.5)
0%
Home (1) 1 (1)
0%
Away (1) 2 (1)
0%
Home (1.5) 1 (1.5)
0%
Away (1.5) 2 (1.5)
0%
Home (2) 1 (2)
0%
Away (2) 2 (2)
0%
Both to score
Yes
0%
No
0%
Home individual total
Over (0.5)
0%
Under (0.5)
0%
Over (1)
0%
Under (1)
0%
Over (1.5)
0%
Under (1.5)
0%
Over (2)
0%
Under (2)
0%
Over (2.5)
0%
Under (2.5)
0%
Over (3)
0%
Under (3)
0%
Over (3.5)
0%
Under (3.5)
0%
Over (4)
0%
Under (4)
0%
Over (4.5)
0%
Under (4.5)
0%
Away individual total
Over (0.5)
0%
Under (0.5)
0%
Over (1)
0%
Under (1)
0%
Over (1.5)
0%
Under (1.5)
0%
Over (2)
0%
Under (2)
0%
Over (2.5)
0%
Under (2.5)
0%
Over (3)
0%
Under (3)
0%
Over (3.5)
0%
Under (3.5)
0%
Over (4)
0%
Under (4)
0%
Over (4.5)
0%
Under (4.5)
0%
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