- What: 2nd round of EURO 2024, Group C, Denmark vs England
- Where: Germany, Frankfurt am Main
- When: June 20, 19:00 (local time - 18:00)
- Stadium: Waldstadion (51,500 seats)
In this match, England must either confirm their status as favorites with a victory or acknowledge that their readiness for EURO 2024 was greatly overestimated by experts. A draw is not suitable for Denmark, as it puts them in a critical risk zone. They need to play for a win, but can they manage?
Denmark
They were unable to dominate Slovenia despite having a clear advantage in almost all major aspects of the game and lost the lead they had. The result was a 1-1 draw and uncertain prospects. Even a series of substitutions towards the end of the game did not revive it, despite five fresh players coming on, all focused on attack and midfield. The coaching staff was clearly unprepared for this outcome.
Main statistics of the Slovenia vs Denmark match: Possession: 32% - 68%, xG: 0.99 - 1.79, Shots: 11 - 16, Shots on target: 2 - 4, Accurate passes: 241 - 583, Passes in the final third: 70 - 159, Accurate passes in the final third: 63% - 75%. Despite having a twofold advantage in most indicators, the team could not maintain a winning score. Things are not all right.
England
They played a very sluggish match. It is hard to believe that this is the team's real capability, given their recent streak of dominant performances. They took the lead 0-1 thanks to a Bellingham goal and practically stopped. They were not particularly roused even by Serbia's occasional, but quite real, attempts to score. It was a rational but very risky and unsporting approach.
Main statistics of the Serbia vs England match: Possession: 47% - 53%, xG: 0.16 - 0.62, Shots: 6 - 5, Shots on target: 1 - 3, Accurate passes: 438 - 527, Passes in the final third: 100 - 144, Accurate passes in the final third: 69% - 80%. Only 11 shots on goal and 4 on target for both teams throughout the match – this is not EURO-level football.
Prediction
England seemingly plans to get through the group stage with minimal effort – not exhausting their leaders and avoiding injuries. Saving energy for the playoffs is a risky approach. We choose an outcome with low scoring for this match.
Prediction xGscore: Total Under 2.5
