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Netherlands
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
2 1.16
1 1.27
Turkey
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Netherlands vs Turkey: Prediction and Tips

1.65

Home / Away

Home Win

274 Votes
93
1.89

Over / Under

Total Over 2.5

390 Votes
88
1.92

Both to Score

Both To Score: Yes

225 Votes
88
8.2

Correct Score

Correct Score: 2-1

271 Vote
85

Netherlands vs. Turkey EURO 2024 Prediction: One Step Closer to the Goal

  • What: EURO 2024 Quarter-Final, Netherlands vs. Turkey
  • Where: Germany, Berlin
  • When: July 6, 10:00 PM (local time – 9:00 PM)
  • Stadium: Olympiastadion (74,000 seats)

Nominally, this pair is considered the weakest among the remaining teams at EURO 2024 – both contenders have more theoretical chances for the title. However, at this stage, anything is possible. Bookmakers rate the championship chances as follows: Netherlands – No. 5 and Turkey – No. 8 (last). Despite their underdog status, one of today's opponents will definitely be in the semifinals, just one step away from the main match.

Netherlands

Despite their appeal and high potential, the team is moving quite sluggishly, achieving results with great effort. They have only won one match by more than one goal – a 3-0 playoff win over Romania, where they scored the last two goals late in the game. However, such an opponent cannot be a quality indicator of strength. In the group stage, a narrow victory over a depleted Poland – 2-1, was followed by a dull draw with France – 0-0, and ended with a defeat by Austria – 3-2. Not very convincing.

Netherlands at EURO 2024: No. 2 in dangerous chances – 14. No. 3 in goals scored – 7 goals in 4 matches. The team includes Cody Gakpo – No. 1 at EURO in goals scored – 3 goals in 4 matches, and No. 1 in the Goal + Assist system – 4 goal contributions. Xavi Simons – No. 1 in assists – 3 assists. Very good!

Turkey

A strong team that has unexpectedly shown very convincing results: 4 matches – 3 wins. They take points where they should and even more. The victory over a strong Austria was particularly convincing. Although the Austrians controlled the ball and created strong pressure, by the beginning of the second half they were already losing by 2 goals and could only reduce the difference – 2-1. In the group stage, they easily defeated Georgia – 3-1, then lost to Portugal without questions – 3-0, and finally overcame the Czech Republic, who played with ten men – 2-1.

Turkey at EURO 2024: No. 1 in yellow cards – 18 YC in 4 matches, No. 3 in ball recoveries – 18.5 per match. The team includes Samet Akaydin – No. 3 at EURO in interceptions – 2.3 per match. Representation in the TOPs clearly confirms the team's tenacity and determination to fight.

Prediction

The Dutch are the obvious favorites of the match, but the Turks can be very dangerous and will certainly not let their opponent play their own game easily. The teams, though not very similar, are both focused on the goal. We expect a high-scoring game.

Prediction xGscore: Total Over 2.5

Key Stats

8.3 Team rating 5.8
5.9 Team form 5.0
14% xG Luckiness 1%
69% xG Predictability 76%
Last 5 matches Last 5 matches: results and ratings
  • Romania
    W
    9.1
  • Austria
    L
    3.6
  • France
    D
    3.7
  • Poland
    W
    4.9
  • Iceland
    W
    7.9
Opponent Match result Match rating
  • Austria
    W
    4.4
  • Czech
    W
    6.4
  • Portugal
    L
    1.9
  • Georgia
    W
    8.3
  • Poland
    L
    5.6

1.8 Avg xG scored per match 1.6
1.0 Avg xG conceded per match 1.7

Featured Streaks in Recent Matches

Total Over 2.5 8 / 9
Total Over 2.5 5 / 5

Featured ROI Stats Against Similar Opponents

Total Over 2.5 10 / 14
ROI 48%
Total Over 2.5 6 / 9
ROI 49%

Match Score Prediction Go to calculations

Netherlands
Match Score Prediction
2.31.0
Turkey

xGscore Probabilities

Result
1 70% x 18% 2 12%
Double Chance
1x 88% 12 82% x2 30%
Total
2.5 Over 64% Under 36%
Both to Score
Yes 57% No 43%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Result
1 1.64 x 4.04 2 6.4
Double Chance
1x 1.15 12 1.29 x2 2.42
Total
2.5 Over 1.86 Under 2.09
Both to Score
Yes 1.87 No 1.89
Result
1 1.65 x 4.09 2 6.3
Double Chance
1x 1.12 12 1.24 x2 2.25
Total
2.5 Over 1.89 Under 2.10
Both to Score
Yes 1.92 No 1.89
Result
1 1.64 x 4.04 2 6.4
Double Chance
1x 1.15 12 1.29 x2 2.42
Total
2.5 Over 1.86 Under 2.09
Both to Score
Yes 1.87 No 1.89

Predictions from xGscore

1.89

Netherlands - Turkey Betting tip Betting tip

Total Over 2.5

% Bet size

88% of users agreed with prediction

390 Votes
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Euro

Euro
Team MPGSGC+/-PTS
1 Spain71541121
2 England786212
3 Germany5114710
4 Netherlands6107310
5 Switzerland58449
6 France64319
7 Turkey58809
8 Portugal55328
9 Austria47616
10 Belgium42204
11 Slovenia42204
12 Slovakia445-14
13 Romania446-24
14 Italy435-24
15 Ukraine324-24
16 Georgia458-34
17 Denmark424-23
18 Hungary325-33
19 Serbia312-12
20 Croatia336-32
21 Albania335-21
22 Czech335-21
23 Poland336-31
24 Scotland327-51