- What: 2nd round of EURO 2024, Group A, Scotland vs Switzerland
- Where: Germany, Cologne
- When: June 19, 22:00 (local time - 21:00)
- Stadium: RheinEnergieStadion (46,000 seats)
This game can either clarify everything, making the final round a mere formality, or complicate matters, pushing the battle for playoff spots to the end of the group stage.
Scotland
Scotland likely faced their "scariest" challenge of this EURO, suffering a crushing 5-1 defeat to Germany. Now comes their "moment of truth." Winning this match puts them back in the game, but merely securing 3 points isn't enough. With equal points, goal difference is the second tiebreaker. Currently, the Scots are at -4, while the Swiss are at +2 – there's work to be done.
Key stats from the Germany vs Scotland match: Possession: 73% – 27%, xG: 2.32 – 0.01, Shots: 20 – 1, Shots on target: 10 – 0, Passes: 643 – 189, Final third passes: 249 – 37, Accuracy: 92% – 43%.
It was a disastrous start, but these guys can take a punch and are unlikely to crumble. They will fight, possibly even literally. Opponents – watch your legs!
Switzerland
Typically a low-scoring team, Switzerland unexpectedly defeated a strong Hungary in a high-scoring game. With expectations of 1-2 goals per match, they managed 4, all in regular play. Switzerland's goals were not flukes; they dominated the first half, nearly sealing the game’s fate.
Key stats from the Hungary vs Switzerland match: xG: 1.21 – 2.38, Shots: 6 – 15, Shots on target: 2 – 7, Passes: 365 – 380, Final third passes: 80 – 132, Accuracy: 70% – 76%.
The team will find it challenging to maintain the same pace and offensive focus in this game while keeping their traditionally solid defense. However, if they succeed, they could secure a spot in the playoffs early.
Prediction
The match is set to be challenging given its critical importance for both teams. Switzerland is aware of the third-round match against Germany and the slim prospects of earning points there. This means losing points today isn't an option, as the risks multiply. For Scotland, it's simpler – only a win keeps their hopes alive. Both teams are likely to score at least one goal each.
Prediction xGscore: Total Over 2
