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Spain
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
2 1.77
1 0.65
England
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Spain vs England: Prediction and Tips

1.61

Home / Away

Home Handicap (0)

396 Votes
90
1.90

Over / Under

Total Over 2

363 Votes
84
2.07

Both to Score

Both To Score: Yes

408 Votes
86
10.3

Correct Score

Correct Score: 2-1

527 Votes
84

Spain vs England EURO 2024 FINAL Prediction: Passion vs Precision

  • Match: EURO 2024 Final, Spain vs. England
  • Location: Berlin, Germany
  • Date: July 14, 10:00 PM (local time – 9:00 PM)
  • Venue: Olympiastadion (74,000 seats)

The final match has put many concerns to rest. The tournament's highlight, Spain, has made it to the final. England, in their semi-final, finally showed what was expected from them at the start of the EURO but had stubbornly failed to deliver until the end of the tournament – "proper football." Now, the English team will enter the field as unexpected underdogs, but Southgate has shown he can skillfully navigate through significant challenges. Despite the widespread sympathy from the football community, experts, and bookmakers for "La Furia Roja," the outcome is far from certain. We hope it’s also a beautiful game!

Spain

Spain is confidently marching towards their goal! Six matches – six wins! However, there have been some nuances in the later stages. They defeated Germany in extra time and were arguably outplayed – the Germans were unlucky. Against France, they played as the dominant team and controlled the ball, but created fewer dangers than their opponents. However, the result is what counts! But it will be tough against the English.

Spain at the EURO:

  • Top in goals scored – 13
  • Top in created dangerous chances – 21
  • Top in missed scoring chances – 15
  • 2nd in shots on goal – 17.7 per match
  • 2nd in red cards – 1
  • 2nd in yellow cards – 14
  • 2nd in clean sheets – 3
  • 3rd in shots on target – 6.3 per match

Key players:

Lamine Yamal:

  • Top in assists – 3
  • Top in created scoring chances – 6
  • 2nd in goals + assists – 4

Fabián Ruiz:

  • 2nd in goals + assists – 4
  • 3rd in assists – 2

Dani Olmo:

  • Top in goals – 3
  • Top in goals + assists – 5
  • 3rd in assists – 2

Rodri:

  • Top in yellow cards – 3

Dani Carvajal:

  • Top in red cards – 1

Unai Simón:

  • 2nd in fewest goals conceded – 0.6 per game
  • 3rd in clean sheets – 2

England

To the surprise of many, England woke up in the semi-final. They equalized after an early goal from the Netherlands, and it seemed like it was heading for a traditional draw. But no! In the 90th minute, substitute Ollie Watkins scored a beautiful goal from a tight angle. That's it – the Dutch went home... England mostly slumbers on the field, but when they wake up, they can hurt anyone!

England at the EURO:

  • Top in hitting the post – 4
  • Top in accurate long passes – 24.5 per game
  • 2nd in accurate passes – 588 per game
  • 3rd in ball possession – 58%

No individual player from the England squad made it into the personal top statistics.

Prediction

England hasn’t lost a single match at the EURO but has conceded against all strong opponents. Only Slovenia and Serbia failed to score against Pickford. It's unlikely they will be able to hold back the best attack of the EURO. Goals are also likely in the first half.

Prediction xGscore: Spain: Individual Total Over 1

Key Stats

8.4 Team rating 8.1
6.4 Team form 4.9
6% xG Luckiness 4%
75% xG Predictability 74%
Last 5 matches Last 5 matches: results and ratings
  • France
    W
    5.6
  • Germany
    W
    5.3
  • Georgia
    W
    8.7
  • Albania
    W
    5.7
  • Italy
    W
    8.6
Opponent Match result Match rating
  • Netherlands
    W
    7.7
  • Switzerland
    D
    3.5
  • Slovakia
    W
    3.4
  • Slovenia
    D
    3.6
  • Denmark
    D
    3.8

1.9 Avg xG scored per match 1.1
0.9 Avg xG conceded per match 1.0

Match Score Prediction Go to calculations

Spain
Match Score Prediction
1.41.1
England

xGscore Probabilities

Result
1 45% x 28% 2 28%
Total
2 Over 62% Under 39%
Both to Score
Yes 53% No 48%
Ind. Total 1
1 Over 65% Under 35%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Result
1 2.48 x 2.91 2 3.81
Total
2 Over 1.90 Under 2.08
Both to Score
Yes 2.04 No 1.79
Ind. Total 1
1 Over 1.73 Under 2.15
Result
1 2.32 x 2.85 2 3.68
Total
2 Over 1.80 Under 1.95
Both to Score
Yes 2.07 No 1.72
Ind. Total 1
1 Over 1.72 Under 2.07
Result
1 2.43 x 2.88 2 3.75
Total
2 Over 1.87 Under 2.03
Both to Score
Yes 2.07 No 1.79
Ind. Total 1
1 Over 1.75 Under 2.15

Predictions from xGscore

1.75

Spain - England Betting tip Betting tip

Spain Total Over 1

% Bet size

89% of users agreed with prediction

479 Votes
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Euro

Euro
Team MPGSGC+/-PTS
1 Spain71541121
2 England786212
3 Germany5114710
4 Netherlands6107310
5 Switzerland58449
6 France64319
7 Turkey58809
8 Portugal55328
9 Austria47616
10 Belgium42204
11 Slovenia42204
12 Slovakia445-14
13 Romania446-24
14 Italy435-24
15 Ukraine324-24
16 Georgia458-34
17 Denmark424-23
18 Hungary325-33
19 Serbia312-12
20 Croatia336-32
21 Albania335-21
22 Czech335-21
23 Poland336-31
24 Scotland327-51